Arkansas State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,404  Wilton Norris JR 34:10
1,509  Lance Beckman SO 34:19
2,181  Drew Mueller JR 35:19
2,279  Jesse Duvall JR 35:30
2,315  Josh Wojciechowski FR 35:33
2,399  Zach VanGundy SO 35:45
2,501  Mark Talarico SO 35:59
2,902  Rhett Raibley SO 37:13
3,092  Brennan Koester FR 38:25
3,170  Andre Walker JR 39:24
3,199  Cain Farnam FR 39:55
National Rank #227 of 311
South Central Region Rank #22 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 22nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 19.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Wilton Norris Lance Beckman Drew Mueller Jesse Duvall Josh Wojciechowski Zach VanGundy Mark Talarico Rhett Raibley Brennan Koester Andre Walker Cain Farnam
Rhodes Invitational 09/27 1336 35:07 35:42 35:15 37:41 35:33 36:19 38:52 39:49 39:59
Chili Pepper Festival 10/04 1273 34:42 33:55 34:48 35:40 35:34 36:57 35:48 37:24
ISU Pre-National Invitational (White Race) 10/18 1289 34:04 35:20 35:32 36:16 35:26 35:11 37:03
UALR Invitational 10/18 1648 37:13 37:35 38:43 39:51
Sun Belt Conference Championships 11/02 1262 34:21 33:56 35:07 35:16 35:21 35:21 35:51 37:39
South Region Championships 11/14 1248 33:33 34:01 35:30 35:11 35:03 36:00 36:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 21.5 619 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 4.1 13.6 29.2 34.7 10.9 4.8 1.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wilton Norris 88.4
Lance Beckman 96.6
Drew Mueller 138.2
Jesse Duvall 146.0
Josh Wojciechowski 148.1
Zach VanGundy 155.5
Mark Talarico 164.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.3% 0.3 17
18 1.1% 1.1 18
19 4.1% 4.1 19
20 13.6% 13.6 20
21 29.2% 29.2 21
22 34.7% 34.7 22
23 10.9% 10.9 23
24 4.8% 4.8 24
25 1.3% 1.3 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0